MLB Pick: Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres

Overview

The Washington Nationals are in San Diego again today for the final game of their four game series with the Padres. The Nationals won the first two games of the series but they blew a 3-1 lead late in yesterdays game losing 7-3.

Head to Head Trends

Nationals are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Nationals are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego.

San Diego Padres (+115)

The San Diego Padres are last in the National League West 14 games under .500 and 15.5 games out of 1st place. The Padres have had a few short good stretches of ball this season but for the most part they have been pretty awful. The Padres have really improved their offense this season averaging 4.07 runs per game but their pitching has also taken a step backwards allowing 4.90 runs per game.

Starting for the Padres in this one is lefty Drew Pomeranz who is 5-7 with a 2.88 ERA on the season. Pomeranz has great stuff and has pitched well this season but he has kind of struggled of late with 3 poor outings in his last 4 starts.

San Diego Padres Trends

Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 overall.
Padres are 1-5 in Pomeranzs last 6 starts.

Washington Nationals (-125)

The Washington Nationals are 1st in the American League East 17 games over .500 and 6 games clear of the 2nd place New York Mets. The Nationals are red hot right now winning 10 of their last 13 games. The Nationals are a good well rounded team they have the 4th best offense in the National League averaging 4.67 runs per game and they have the 3rd best defense allowing just 3.51 runs per game.

Taking the mound for the Nationals today is lefty Gio Gonzalez who is 3-5 with a 3.96 ERA on the season. Gonzalez has been a little hit or miss this season he has 8 quality starts but he also has a few starts that he’s been knocked around pretty good.

Washington Nationals Trends

Nationals are 10-3 in their last 13 overall.
Nationals are 13-4 in their last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Conclusion

I like the Washington Nationals over the Padres in this one. I think Padres might have the slight pitching advantage with Pomeranz over Gonzalez but I think the Nationals have a fairly big advantage on offense especially the way they have been playing of late.

Free Pick: Washington Nationals -125

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