MLB Pick: Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox

Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays look to complete the three game sweep of the Boston Red Sox today. The Jays won the first game in huge comeback fashion after being down 8-1 early they came back for the 13-10 and yesterday the Jays actually had the early lead and just held on for an extra inning win.

Head to Head Trends

Blue Jays are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Boston.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Boston Red Sox (-114)

The Boston Red Sox are last in the American League East 7 games out of 1st place which isn’t really a huge deficit but all the other team in the East are all within 2 games of 1st place. The Red Sox have lost their last 5 games and their usually anemic offense is actually hitting better over this 5 game losing streak but their pitching has also been extra bad allowing 6 runs per game.

On the hill for the Red Sox today is rookie left hander Eduardo Rodriguez who is 2-0 with a 0.44 ERA in 3 starts this season. Rodriguez has been super good so far this season but as a rookie how long will it last before he gets hammered by some team and today might be that day going up against the best offense in baseball.

Boston Red Sox Trends

Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.
Red Sox are 16-38 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Toronto Blue Jays (+104)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 3rd in the American League East just 1 game back of the 1st place New York Yankees. The Blue Jays are the hottest team in baseball right now currently riding a 10 game win streak in large part due to their top ranked offense who are batting .296 and averaging 7.50 runs per game over that streak. Also of note in this one is the Blue Jays have killed left handed pitching this season batting .301 and averaging 6.26 runs per game.

Taking the mound for the Blue Jays today is Marco Estrada who is 3-3 with a 3.78 ERA on the season. Estrada has pitched solid and has steadily improved since making the move to starter back in late April.

Toronto Blue Jays Trends

Blue Jays are 10-0 in their last 10 overall.
Blue Jays are 12-4 in their last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Blue Jays to extend their win streak to 11 games today. The Blue Jays bats are red hot right now and they really hit lefty’s well in general so rookie sensation Eduardo Rodriguez might be in for a rough one today.

Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +104

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