7/17/15 MLB Pick: Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays Team LogoOverview

The Tampa Bay Rays start the second half in Toronto where they have a three game series with the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays haven’t had much luck versus the Rays of late with just 3 wins in the last 11 meetings including just 1 win in the last 5 played in Toronto.

Head to Head Trends

Rays are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
Rays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.

Toronto Blue Jays (-140)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 4th in the American League East 4.5 games back of the 1st place New York Yankees. The Blue Jays limped into the all star break winning just 3 of their last 11 games so lets hope having a few days off helps get them back on track.

Starting for the Blue Jays in this one is Drew Hutchison who is 8-2 with a 5.33 ERA on the season. Hutchison is super horrible on the road where he has a 8.81 ERA but it’s like he is a whole different pitcher at home where he is 6-1 with a 2.12 ERA.

Toronto Blue Jays Trends

Blue Jays are 15-7 in their last 22 home games.
Blue Jays are 8-0 in Hutchisons last 8 starts vs. American League East.

Tampa Bay Rays (+130)

The Tampa Bay Rays are 2nd in the American League East 3.5 games back of the New York Yankees. The Rays could also use the last few days off as they were also struggling with just 6 wins in they’re last 21 games before the break.

On the hill for the Rays today is Jake Odorizzi who is 5-5 with a 2.30 ERA on the season. Odorizzi has been really solid this season he just hasn’t had any run support from the Rays offense. Odorizzi has had on average 2.4 runs of support in his starts which is a huge difference compared to the 6.9 runs Blue Jays starter Drew Hutchison has had.

Tampa Bay Rays Trends

Rays are 4-11 in their last 15 overall.
Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League East.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Toronto Blue Jays over the Rays in this one. The Blue Jays play pretty good at home in general and I think the few days off really helped the Jays especially guys like Bautista and Encarnacion who were both dealing with some nagging injuries.

Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -140 

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