MLB Pick: St Louis Cardinals at New York Mets

Overview

The St Louis Cardinals are in New York where they take on the Mets. The Cardinals have played the Mets fairly well over the past few seasons winning 15 of the last 25 meetings but they haven’t played them too well in New York winning just 11 of the last 30 meetings. This has also been a low scoring series with 15 of the last 18 meetings going under the total.

Head to Head Trends

Under is 15-3 in the last 18 meetings.
Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in New York.

New York Mets (-110)

The New York Mets are 2nd in the National league East 5 games back of the 1st place Washington Nationals. The Mets have one of the better pitching staffs in baseball allowing just 3.55 runs per game but they don’t exactly have the best offense averaging just 3.73 runs per game.

Taking the mound for the Mets in this one is Bartolo Colon who is 8-5 with a 3.48 ERA on the season. I have no idea how Colon is pitching as well as he has so far this season he’s 43 and weights about 300 pounds although it does look like his run is coming to an end as he’s been smoked in 2 of his last 3 starts.

New York Mets Trends

Mets are 7-2 in Colons last 9 starts.
Mets are 24-7 in their last 31 vs. National League Central.

St Louis Cardinals (+100)

The St Louis Cardinals are 2nd in the National League Central 7 games back of the Chicago Cubs. The Cardinal have a solid pitching staff allowing 4.17 runs per game but their biggest strength is their offense averaging 5.14 runs per game and that jumps up to 5.98 runs per game on road which is kind of weird seeing they already play in one of the better hitting parks.

On the hill for the Cardinals today is lefty Jamie Garcia who is 7-6 with a 3.98 ERA on the season. Garcia has pitched decent this season but he doesn’t tend to go deep in games and has just 7 quality starts.

St Louis Cardinals Trends

Cardinals are 12-4 in their last 16 road games.
Cardinals are 10-4 in Garcias last 14 starts with 5 days of rest.

Conclusion

I’m going with the St Louis Cardinals over the Mets in this one. I really like the Cardinals offense they’re one of the better hitting teams in all of baseball plus they have crushed Bartolo Colon the last two times they have faced him.

Free Pick: St Louis Cardinals +100

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