MLB Pick: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees

philliesThe Philadelphia Phillies look to complete the sweep of the Yankees today in New York. The Phillies crushed the Yankees in the first 2 games scoring 11 runs in both games. Being an inter-league match up these teams obviously don’t hook up all that often but the Phillies have played the Yankees well winning the last 4 straight meetings.

Head to Head Trends

Phillies are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Phillies are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York.

New York Yankees (-124)

The New York Yankees are 2nd in the American League East just 2 games back of the 1st place Tampa Bay Rays. The Yankees were in 1st place for a lot of the season but they’ve been a little inconsistent over the past month so they have lost a bit of ground to the rest of the division. The Yankees got a surprisingly good offense this season averaging 4.79 runs per game but their pitching has struggled allowing 4.54 runs per game.

Starting for the Yankees today is Ian Nova who will be making his first start of the season and it’s actually his first start since April of last season so I wouldn’t expect a lot from him today and I’d also expect him to have a fairly low pitch count so the Yankees tired bullpen might be in for another long day.

New York Yankees Trends

Yankees are 11-4 in their last 15 home games.
Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Philadelphia Phillies (+114)

The Philadelphia Phillies are last in the National League East with a 26-47 record which is also good for the worst record in the entire Major Leagues. The Phillies usually have one of the worst offenses in the league averaging just 3.32 runs per game but they have been absolutely on fire of late putting up 42 hits and 31 runs over their last 3 games. A couple of those wins were against Micheal Wacha and Micheal Pineda so it’s not like they were facing crap pitchers these are two of the top guys in the league.

On the hill for the Phillies today is lefty Cole Hamels who is 5-5 with a 2.96 ERA on the season. You know Hamels has pitched well when he’s .500 and he has only had on average 2.7 runs of support from the Phillies offense.

Philadelphia Phillies Trends

Phillies are 8-2 in Hamels’ last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 7-21 in their last 28 overall.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Phillies to complete the sweep today over the Yankees. The Phillies bats are on fire right now and they have Cole Hamels on the mound while the Yankees tired bullpen who have pitched 22.1 innings over their last 3 games will probably be in for another long one today.

Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +114  

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