The New York Mets are in Chicago tonight for game 4 of the NLCS versus the Cubs. The Mets have a 3-0 lead in the series. The Mets pitching has really shut down the Cubs offense who have scored just 5 runs through the first three games and they also have just 15 hits total so it’s almost impossible to win like that.
Head to Head Trends
Mets are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings.
Mets are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Chicago.
Chicago Cubs (-120)
The Chicago Cubs finished 3rd in the National League Central and even though they finished 3rd in their division which doesn’t sound all that good their 97-65 record was still the 3rd best record in all of baseball. The Cubs have a solid offense averaging 4.22 runs per game although you would really know that from this series as they have been absolutely horrible. The Cubs also have a solid pitching staff allowing 3.75 runs per game but again they also haven’t been all that great of late especially their starters who have a 5.92 ERA over their last 5 games.
On the hill for the Cubs today is Jason Hammel who is 10-7 with a 3.78 ERA on the season. Hammel started out the season pretty good but he’s had just two quality starts since June and he also hasn’t pitched 7 innings in his last 16 starts so even if he has a great game the Cubs bullpen will probably have to throw a few good innings as well if they’re going to avoid the sweep.
Chicago Cubs Trends
Cubs are 49-22 in their last 71 overall.
Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
New York Mets (+110)
The New York Mets finished 1st in the National League East with a 90-72 record. The Mets are similar to the Cubs, they have a solid offense and a solid pitching staff in fact most of the Cubs and Mets stats are almost exactly the same so these are two evenly matched teams.
No Mets SP has started a postseason game with fewer starts to that point in his major-league career than Steven Matz (6). Via @EliasSports
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) October 14, 2015
New York Mets Trends
Mets are 22-6 in their last 28 road games.
Mets are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
Conclusion
I’m going with the Chicago Cubs to beat the Mets and avoid the sweep in this one. The Cubs offense haven’t done a thing so far in this series so I think they’re due for a good game and I just think the Cubs get it done tonight.
Free Pick: Chicago Cubs -120