MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres

Overview

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the west coast in sunny San Diego for a three game series with the Padres. The Brewers have played the Padres well of late winning 7 of the last 10 meetings overall but they have won just 2 of the last 5 played in San Diego.

Head to Head Trends

Brewers are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.

San Diego Padres (+100)

The San Diego Padres are 4th in the National League West 15 games under .500 and 16 games out of 1st place. The Padres really improved their offense this season averaging 4.35 runs per game but their pitching has been horrible especially at home where they are allowing 5.16 runs per game.

Starting for the Padres today is Jarred Cosart who will be making his first start of the season with the Padres after coming over from the Marlins where he was 0-1 with a 5.95 ERA in 4 starts. Cosart hasn’t pitched much this season just 19 innings but he has been having some major control issues allowing 16 walks so not very good.

San Diego Padres Trends

Padres are 4-9 in their last 13 overall.
Padres are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. National League Central.

Milwaukee Brewers (-120)

The Milwaukee Brewers are 4th in the National League Central 9 games under .500 and 15.5 games out of 1st place. After not doing a whole lot for most of the season it looks like the Brewers are heating up winning 6 of their last 7 games. The Brewers offense has been decent of late but it’s their pitching that has really been the difference with just a 2.60 ERA over their last 10 games.

On the hill for the Brewers in this one is Jimmy Nelson who is 6-9 with a 3.71 ERA on the season. Nelson has been fairly decent this season but he’s been much better at home where he’s 4-5 with a 3.09 ERA versus on the road where he is just 2-4 with a 4.69 ERA.

Milwaukee Brewers Trends

Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
Brewers are 15-7 in their last 22 vs. a team with a losing record.

Conclusion

I like the Milwaukee Brewers over the Padres in this one. I think the Brewers are the better team in general but these are also two teams heading in opposite directions right now with the Brewers winning 6 of their last 7 games while the Padres have won just 4 of their last 13 games.

Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -120

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