MLB Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants

Overview

The LA Dodgers are in San Francisco to for a big three game series with their division rivals the San Francisco Giants. This will be the 11th meeting of the season between LA and San Francisco and so far the Giants have gotten the best of the Dodgers winning 7 of the 10 meetings. The Dodgers have also lost 12 of the last 16 meetings overall and 10 of the last 15 meetings in San Francisco.

Head to Head Trends

Dodgers are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings.
Giants are 7-1 in Lincecums last 8 starts vs. Dodgers.

San Francisco Giants (+112)

The San Francisco Giants are 1st in the National league West 1.5 games up on the LA Dodgers. The Giants are playing some pretty solid ball right now winning 7 of their last 10 games. Over their last 10 games the Giants have been getting good hitting averaging 4.90 runs per game plus they have also been getting some good pitching allowing just 2.60 runs per game. On the hill for the Giants is Tim Lincecum who is having a pretty good bounce back season after a couple off years the past couple seasons. This season may not have started out all that great for Lincecum but he has been on a tear recently. Since his no-hitter back in June Lincecum is 4-1 with an ERA under 1.

San Francisco Giants Trends

Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Giants are 6-1 in Lincecums last 7 home starts.

Los Angeles Dodgers (-122)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 2nd in the National League West 1.5 games back of the San Francisco Giants. The Dodgers are just 1 game over .500 at home this season but they are 8 games over .500 on the road. On the road the Dodgers average 4.44 runs per game on offense and allow 3.81 runs per game on defense. Since the all star break the Dodgers are just 2-6 and lost their last 2 games getting outscored 18-8. Starting for the Dodgers today is Zack Greinke who is 11-6 with a 2.90 ERA in 20 starts this season. Greinke is obviously having a pretty good season but he’s better at home where he is 6-1 versus on the road where he is just 5-5.

Los Angeles Dodgers Trends

Dodgers are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 1-6 in Greinkes last 7 road starts.

Conclusion

I like the Giants in this one for a couple reasons. The first is they seem to be getting hot right now and it’s probably a good idea to ride them for a bit plus I really like Lincecum who has been pitching pretty good the past month or so.

Free Pick: San Francisco Giants +112

 

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