MLB Pick: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins

Overview

The Chicago White Sox are in Minnesota for the second game of a four game series with the Twins. The Twins hammered Chris Sale and the White Sox in the opener winning 12-2. The Twins have played the Sox fairly well over the last couple season winning 11 of the last 20 meetings overall including 7 of the last 11 played at home in Minnesota.

Head to Head Trends

Over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.
Home team is 5-0 in Gibsons last 5 games behind home plate.

Minnesota Twins (+102)

The Minnesota Twins are 3rd in the American League Central with a 10-12 record. The Twins started the season slow winning just 1 of their first 7 games but they have been playing better winning 9 of their last 15 games since. The Twins are finally hitting the ball well averaging 4.70 runs per game over their last 10 games and their pitching hasn’t been super but they have improved allowing 4.10 runs per game over their last 10.

On the hill for the Twins today is Kyle Gibson who is 1-2 with a 4.84 ERA on the season. Gibson got roughed up in his first start of the season but he has pitched better since allowing just 6 earned runs over his last 3 starts. Gibson’s strikeout to walk ratio is pretty bad with just 6 strikeouts versus 12 base on balls so that’s something he really needs to improve on.

Minnesota Twins Trends

Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Chicago White Sox (-112)

The Chicago White Sox are 4th in the American League Central with an 8-11 record 5.5 games out of 1st place. The Sox have played some good ball at home but they have been horrible on the road winning just 2 of 10 games and have actually been outscored 29-5 over their last 3 road games.

Starting for the White Sox today is lefty Jose Quintana who is 1-1 with a 6.55 ERA in his four starts so far this season. Quintana pitched great in 2 of his starts but he also got knocked around pretty hard in his other 2 starts so it’s hard to say what we will see out of him today.

Chicago White Sox Trends

White Sox are 7-21 in their last 28 road games.
White Sox are 7-16 in Quintanas last 23 starts on grass

Conclusion

I like the Minnesota Twins as a small home dog over the White Sox in this one. The Twins are playing decent right now and so I think they’re worth a shot especially with Quintana being so inconsistent.

Free Pick: Minnesota Twins +103 at Topbet

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