MLB Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

Overview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are in Colorado for the rubber match of their three game series with the Rockies. The Rockies won the first game 10-5 but the D’backs bounced back in game 2 scoring 3 runs in the top of the 9th inning for a 8-7 win.

Head to Head Trends

Rockies are 10-1 in De La Rosas last 11 home starts vs. Diamondbacks.
Over is 23-8-1 in the last 32 meetings.

Colorado Rockies (-115)

The Colorado Rockies are last in the National League West 8 games out of 1st place. The Rockies have played good at times this season but they have had a couple really bad cold stretches including an 11 game losing streak earlier in the season and a 1-9 stretch just recently. This is due to their poor pitching staff who aren’t good enough to win games on their own they need the Rockies offense to be firing on all cylinders to be able to put together a few wins.

On the hill for the Rockies today is lefty Jorge De La Rosa who is 4-3 with a 5.74 ERA on the season. With an ERA over 5.00 De La Rosa obviously hasn’t pitched great but when half of your games are in Coors field it will lead to some inflated numbers.

Colorado Rockies Trends

Rockies are 51-13 in De La Rosas last 64 home starts.
Rockies are 4-10 in their last 14 overall.

Arizona Diamondbacks (+105)

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 3rd in the National League West 4 games back of the 1st place LA Dodgers. The D’backs have played solid this season they are 1 game under .500 at 35-36 but they have scored a lot of runs this season actually just 2 less then the Rockies. I have a feeling that probably won’t last forever so when the runs dry up and with their pitching staff not being all that great they will probably be in for a rough time.

Starting for the Diamondbacks today is Rubby De La Rosa who is 6-3 with a 4.96 ERA on the season. Ruddy has been average at best this season he has an ERA close to 5 and has allowed 14 home runs 9 of which have come on the road so I don’t see things going all that well for him tonight in the thin Denver air.

Arizona Diamondbacks Trends

Diamondbacks are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in De La Rosas last 5 starts.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Colorado Rockies over the Diamondback in this one. The Rockies aren’t the best team in the world but when their bats get hot especially at home they can put up some big numbers.

Free Pick: Colorado Rockies -115

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