Points For vs Points Against
In considering the various weapons that each offense brings to the field, which includes premium passing QBs, a productive group of receivers on both sides, and solid rush attacks, we can see each team as scoring its share of points. We’re liking the over here.
Defense – Recent Performance
In their last five games of the season, Kansas City allowed an average of 25.4 PPG. If you take the Oakland game out of that, where the Raiders scored three points in their final game of a dismal season, then in the four prior games, which included the Chiefs’ first regular-season game with Oakland, opponents scored on average 31.0 PPG. Add in a fifth game, against the LA Rams, and that PA goes up to 43.8 PPG. As of late, overall, the Chiefs have been allowing a lot of points. There’s a good chance they’ll do the same today.
We’re thinking, even with an Indy D that may lower the Chiefs’ output by about six points to 29.3 points, that the over is reachable. After all, Luck and company should be able to put up at least 27 points today, if not more.
Past Totals Performances
in six of the last eight times these two teams met, the score has gone under. Also, nine of Indy’s past 13 away games, the total has gone under. The same is true in KC’s past 10-of-13 home games. More times than not, it’s been about the under. But that does not mean today is about the under. Despite history and over performance for a majority of the season, recent evidence says go with the over. This info, however, favors the under.
Our Chiefs vs Colts Totals Pick
Our Chiefs vs Colts totals pick can see Luck and company scoring about 27 points today. At the same time, we like KC to come in at around 30 points. That comes to 57, which is just over. As we’ve noted above, we do think that points will be scored. Our Chiefs vs Colts totals pick is the over at 54.5. Also see our spread pick for Kansas City versus Indianapolis.