NFL Week 13 Pick – Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Bears' Health and Depth Give Chicago an Advantage

Our Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions pick offers the Bears at -4.0. This Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions pick is for what is a NFL Thanksgiving classic. This game will be played November 28, 2019 at 12:30 PM ET. The Chicago Bears (5-6 Overall, 2-3 Away) are third in the NFC North. They are three games behind the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings. The Detroit Lions (3-7 Overall, 2-3 Home) are fourth in the division. They are 4.5 games out of first place. The game will be played at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan.

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Pick – Stats

The Bears are averaging just 17.1 PPG. They’ve been good for 287.0 YPG of offense. Of that, 208.5 has been in the air and 78.5 on the ground. The Lions are also averaging a paltry 17.1 PPG. They’ve posted a total of 395.1 YPG in offense with 289.5 in the air. Detroit has averaged 105.6 YPG on the ground.

Defensively, Chicago’s allowing opponents 23.6 PPG, while Detroit’s giving up 26.5 PPG. The Bears are holding teams to 96.8 YPG in rushing and 236.5 YPG in passing. The Lions are giving up 409.8 YPG to opponents. That includes 120.7 on the ground and 289.1 in the air.

Chicago comes into this game with a total of 26 sacks and 50.5 TFL. They’ve posted seven picks and 47 PD. The Bears have forced a dozen fumbles and recovered eight. The Bear defense has scored one TD. The Lions have forced 15 fumbles, recovering 11. They’ve picked four and defended 56 passes. The Detroit D’s recorded 23 sacks and 47.5 TFL. The Lion defense, like Chicago’s, has scored one TD.

Bears vs Lions – Players

The Bears’ roster is in better shape than that of the Lions. Detroit has major question marks at QB and their rushing group has been weakened by injury. On defense, we like Chicago. They are much more adept at stopping offenses than Detroit is.

Chicago Bears

Chicago QB Mitchell Trubisky has tossed 10 TD passes and six picks while being sacked 25 times. He’s completing 62.2% of his passes. WR Taylor Gabriel, who has 29 catches with four being for TDs, will not play due to injury, but top receiver Allen Robinson II, who has 63 catches, and wideout Anthony Miller, who’s accumulated 29 receptions, will both play. Robinson has caught four passes for scores and is averaging 12.1 YPC. Miller, who does not have a TD catch, has been good for 12.0 YPC. Dual-threat RB Tarik Cohen has made 50 receptions with three going for TDs. He’s averaging 3.2 YPA on the ground. RB David Montgomery, who’s had the bulk of the work with 156 rushes for 519 yards and five scores, is averaging 3.3 YPA.

On defense, LB Khalil Mack has 6.5 sacks, 10 TFL, and four PD, while safety HaHa Clinton-Dix has recorded two picks, four PD, and 58 tackles. Corner Kyle Fuller has been good for three INTs, nine PD, and 55 tackles. LB Roquan Smith leads the Bears with 83 tackles, 55 solo bring downs and 28 assists.

Detroit Lions

The Lions have real quarterback problems. Matthew Stafford’s back injury will keep him out of the lineup once again. Backup Jeff Driskel’s hamstring injury limited him in practice this week. If he is a no-go, then rookie David Blaugh will start. The Lions also have issues at running back as Kerryon Johnson is also out. RB J.D. McKissic is averaging 5.6 YPA. The team’s top receivers are ready to go, including Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones, Jr., and Danny Amendola. Each has 40-plus receptions with Jones topping the group with 56. Jones and Golladay each have eight TD catches.

On defense, LB Jarrad David has 56 tackles, two sacks and 5.5 TFL, while LB Devon Kennard has made 39 tackles, six sacks, and seven TFL. Corners Rashaan Melvin and Justin Coleman each have 10 PD. Our Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions pick notes that Melvin is questionable for the upcoming game.

Keys to Chicago and Detroit

Our five keys to this game include:

  1. QB healthy – the Bears have that edge
  2. Defense – again, we prefer Chicago
  3. Offensive line – Detroit may have the better one
  4. Offensive depth – we like the Bears
  5. QB potential – Toss up

Our Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Pick

The Bears are a tad better on defense when it comes to QB pressure and stopping the run. Their pass D is also a bit sounder. The Lions excel at forcing and recovering fumbles. One offense, our Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions pick finds that although point totals are the same, that the Bears are in better shape when it comes to the injury report. This likely to be a fairly close contest. However, we feel that Chicago will persevere. Our pick is the Chicago Bears at -4.0.

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Pick – Summary

Chicago Bears -4.0

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