NHL Pick: Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning

Overview

The Philadelphia Flyers head down to sunny Florida today when they take on the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Lightning have totally owned the Flyers over the past three or four seasons winning 11 of the last 14 meetings which also includes winning the last 6 straight meetings in Tampa Bay.

Head to Head Trends

Flyers are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Flyers are 3-11 in the last 14 meetings overall.

Tampa Bay Lightning (-155)

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 2nd in the Atlantic division with 13 points 3 points back of the 1st place Montreal Canadians. The Lightning are 6-4 on the season and have actually had a fairly easy schedule so far so I’m not exactly sold on them being a top team like they were last season but they do play in the weak Eastern Conference so with Boston struggling they might end up finishing in 1st place. The Lightning are one of the highest scoring teams in the league averaging 3.4 goals per game and they also play solid on defense allowing just 2.5 goals per game although they did give up 7 goals to the Wild the other night and the Wild aren’t exactly an offensive power house.

Tampa Bay Lightning Trends

Lightning are 1-5 in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
Lightning are 36-17 in their last 53 vs. a team with a losing record.

Philadelphia Flyers (+140)

The Philadelphia Flyers are 4th in the Metropolitan Division with 10 points just 2 points back of the 1st place New York Islanders. The Flyers got off to an absolutely horrible start this season losing their first 5 games but since then they have won 4 of their last 5 games all of which were against good teams and their last 2 of those first 5 losses were in the shootout so maybe there’s something to this Flyers team. The Flyers can score some goals averaging 3.22 goals per game but they’re also allowing 3.33 goals per game so betting over’s in Flyers games may also be something you want to take a look at.

Philadelphia Flyers Trends

Flyers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Flyers are 3-8 in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Tampa Bay Lightning over the Flyers in this one. The Lightning had one of the best home records last season and they will probably have one of the best home records again this season plus they can score a lot of goals and the Flyers give up a lot so I don’t see the Lightning having much trouble with the Flyers tonight.

Free Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -155

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