MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers

Overview

The San Francisco Giants look to complete the three game sweep of the Brewers today in Milwaukee. The Giants have played the Brewers well over the past year or so winning 7 of the last 9 games including the last 5 in a row.

Head to Head Trends

Giants are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Road team is 9-3 in Davis’ last 12 games behind home plate.

Milwaukee Brewers (-127)

The Milwaukee Brewers are last in the National League Central 14.5 games out of 1st place which is the largest deficit in baseball at the moment and their 16-31 record is the worst in baseball so you can say the Brewers are the worst team in all of baseball right now. After an absolutely horrible start to the season the Brewers were starting to play better but that hasn’t lasted long as they have now lost 6 of their last 7 games.

On the hill for the Brewers today is Mike Fiers who is 1-4 with a 4.63 ERA on the season. Fiers isn’t exactly lighting things up but he hasn’t pitched horrible horrible he just hasn’t been getting a ton of run support and the Brewers bullpen haven’t been doing him any favors either.

Milwaukee Brewers Trends

Brewers are 25-53 in their last 78 overall.
Brewers are 3-9 in Fiers’ last 12 starts.

San Francisco Giants (+117)

The San Francisco Giants are 2nd in the National League West just 2 games back of the 1st place LA Dodgers. After a slow start the Giants continue to be one hottest teams in the league winning 10 of their last 12 games.

Starting for the Giants in this one is Ryan Vogelsong who is 3-2 with a 4.60 ERA in 7 starts this season. Vogelsong has had a few bad starts but it does look like he’s getting stronger as the season goes on.

San Francisco Giants Trends

Giants are 10-2 in their last 12 overall.
Giants are 4-0 in Vogelsongs last 4 starts.

Conclusion

I like the San Francisco Giants over the Brewers in this one. Sometimes you just have to scratch your head when you see a last place team like the Brewers favored over the hottest team in the league of late. I think the Giants should be a -120 or -130 favorite in this one not the Brewers but I’m not complaining I’ll just keep taking what the books are giving me.

Free Pick: San Francisco Giants +117

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