MLB Pick: Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels

Overview

The Baltimore Orioles continue their west coast swing today as they visit the Los Angeles Angels for a three game series. These teams have yet to play each other so far this season. Last season the Orioles got the better of the Angels as they won 5 of the 7 meetings. The Angels have won 11 of the last 20 meetings overall versus the Orioles including 9 of the last 14 meetings in Los Angeles.

Head to Head Trends

Orioles are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Los Angeles Angels (-137)

The Los Angeles Angels are 2nd in the American League West just 1.5 games back of the Oakland Athletics. The Angeles are the hottest team in baseball right now as they have won 21 of their last 27 games. A big reason for this good play of late has been the Angels offense who are now the highest scoring offense in baseball with 5.04 runs per games. The Angles are also super tough at home where they average 4.90 runs per game on offense and allow 4.12 runs per game on defense and they also have the best home record in the Majors at 34-16. Starting for the Angels is Matt Shoemaker who is 6-1 with a 4.38 ERA in 8 starts this season. Shoemaker pitches much better at home where he is 4-1 with a 2.84 ERA versus on the road where he has a 6.66 ERA.

Los Angeles Angels Trends

Angels are 14-3 in their last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Angels are 36-16 in their last 52 home games.

Baltimore Orioles (+127)

The Baltimore Orioles are 1st in the American League East 3 games up on both the Yankees and Blue Jays. The Orioles have been a fairly consistent team all season and were really starting to heat up before the all star break winning 10 of 13 games but they have lost 2 of their 3 games since the break. To be fair the 3 games since the break were against the Oakland Athletics who are the best team in baseball so not sure if the break stopped the Orioles momentum or they just ran into a good team. Starting for the Orioles is Bud Norris who is making his first start since early July after going on the DL with a groin strain. Norris is 7-6 with a 3.96 ERA in 15 starts but has struggled a bit on the road this season where he is just 3-4 with a 4.86 ERA.

Baltimore Orioles Trends

Orioles are 11-5 in their last 16 overall.
Orioles are 4-1 in Norris’ last 5 starts.

Conclusion

I like the Angles to continue winning and beat the Oriole today. The Angles are the best home team in baseball and are just playing too good not to bet right now.

Free Pick: Los Angeles Angels -137

 

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