MLB Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at LA Angels

Overview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are in LA for the second game of their four game series with the Angels. Being an inter-league game these two teams obviously don’t meet up all that often just a handful of times over the past decade. Since 2006 the D’backs and Angels have meet 10 times with the Angles winning 7 of those.

Head to Head Trends

Diamondbacks are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.
Road team is 12-2 in Eddings’ last 14 games behind home plate.

LA Angels (-170)

The LA Angels are 3rd in the American League West 4.5 games back of the 1st place Houston Astros. The Angles are a bit of a hard team to get a great read on, they started the season slow then they got hot in May winning 17 of 26 games but they seem to have cooled off again losing 8 of their last 12 games.

The Angles actually have a negative run differential for the season averaging just 3.92 runs per game on offense while allowing 4.02 runs per game on defense so I guess that’s a big reason for the inconstancy.

Starting for the Angels today is Garrett Richards who is 6-4 with a 3.97 ERA on the season. Richards has been solid this season although he did get roughed up a couple starts ago by the Yankees who put up 6 earned runs in just 2/3 of an inning.

LA Angels Trends

Angels are 7-1 in Richards’ last 8 interleague starts.
Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Arizona Diamondbacks (+185)

The Arizona Diamondback are 3rd in the National League West 5.5 games behind the 1st place LA Dodgers. The Diamondbacks have been playing some fairly solid ball over the past month winning 16 of 26 games including their last 4 in a row.

On the hill for the Diamondbacks today is Jeremy Hellickson who is 4-3 with a 5.29 ERA on the season. Hellickson had a a rough start to the season but he did have a streak of four quality starts in a row before getting smacked around a bit in his last outing.

Arizona Diamondbacks Trends

Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Hellicksons last 5 starts.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Arizona Diamondbacks over the Angels in this one. The Diamondbacks are playing some solid ball right now and the Angels aren’t exactly a top team so I think +185 for the D’backs is just too high.

Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +185

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