Over their last five games, the Saints have three wins and two losses. After beating Carolina, they lost to the Chiefs 27-21 on October 23. New Orleans then beat the Seahawks 25-20 and the 49ers 41-23. Last week, they lost to Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos 25-23.
The Panthers are 2-3 over their last five contests. Along with their October 16 loss to the Saints, they lost on October 10 to the Bucs 17-14 and to Kansas City last week 20-17. Wins were against Arizona 30-20 on October 30 and Los Angeles 13-10 on November 6.
New Orleans Offense vs. Panthers D
The Panther D is holding teams to 25.1 PPG. They come to the game with 27 sacks, 31 TFL, and nine FF. Plus, they have nine interceptions and 37 PD. Those are very good numbers. DE Mario Addison (4.5 Sacks) and DT Star Lotulelei (4.0 Sacks( are premium players. DE Charles Johnson (2.0 Sacks, 1 PD, 3 FF) is an intimidating presence. LB Thomas Davis (56 TCKL, 2 TFL, 3 PD, 2 INT, 1 FF) tends to be everywhere, while LB Luke Kuechly (88 TCKL, 2 Sacks, 6 TFL, 5 PD, 1 INT, 1 FF) is a preeminent playmaker.
Carolina Offense vs. Saints D
TE Greg Olsen (50 REC, 712 YDs, 14.2 AVG, 3 TDs) and WR Kelvin Benjamin (43 ATT, 627 YDs, 14.6 AVG, 4 TDs) are two talented pass catchers. Look for WR Devin Funchess (14 ATT, 234Yds, 16.7 AVG, 3 TDs) to be a factor as a secondary outlet. The offense is scoring an average of 24.6 PPG.
The Saints offer a better defense than one might expect. They’ve got eight forced fumbles, six interceptions, and 40 passes defended. Plus, New Orleans has accumulated 20 TFL and 17 sacks. DE Cameron Jones is a big talent with four sacks and seven tackles for a loss. DT Nick Fairly, with 4.5 Sacks and one TFL, is an important guy upfront. The Saint defense is holding teams to 29.2 PPG. CB Ken Crawley has posted two TFL and six PD.
2016 NFL Week 11 Thursday Pick New Orleans Plays Carolina
Interesting to note that New Orleans at 70.27% has the second best red zone offense in the league, while Carolina is third at 68.97%. When it comes to red zone D the Panthers are tied for third at 44.44%. The Saints are 12th at 52.94%. Although in the last three games, New Orleans’ red zone D is at 30.00% while the Panthers’ has escalated to 50.00%
We like the Panthers at -3.0. The game will be played on Thursday, November 17, 2016 at 8:25 p.m.