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NHL Pick: Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars

Overview

The Colorado Avalanche are in Dallas where they take on division rivals the Dallas Stars. The Stars haven’t had much luck versus the Avalanche over the past couple seasons winning just 1 of the last 9 meetings overall but they are 10-7 in the last 17 meetings played at home in Dallas.

Head to Head Trends

Avalanche are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 19-9 in the last 28 meetings in Dallas.

Dallas Stars (-140)

The Dallas Stars are 6th in the Central Division with 63 points 7 points back of the Flames and Kings for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Stars were looking pretty good a couple weeks back when they won 4 of 5 games but they haven’t played very well since losing their last 4 games in a row and giving up an average of 5.5 goals per game. The Stars have a very capable offense averaging 30.9 shots and 3.1 goals per game but offense isn’t their problem it’s defense where they tend to struggle. The Stars actually have the 4th worst defense in the league allowing 31.1 shots and 3.3 goals per game.

Dallas Stars Trends

Stars are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
Stars are 201-89-25 in their last 315 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Colorado Avalanche PickColorado Avalanche (+120)

The Colorado Avalanche are 7th in the Central Division also with 63 points but they do have a couple more games played then the Stars. The Avalanche are playing ok at the moment winning 4 of their last 6 games but who knows how long that will last. The Avalanche are not all that good on offense or defense. They are averaging just 28.5 shots and 2.6 goals per game on offense while allowing 33.0 shots and 2.9 goals per game on defense. Having a -0.3 goal differential is obviously not very good but they also have a -4.5 shot differential which really shows they are getting outplayed most nights.

Colorado Avalanche Trends

Avalanche are 10-25 in their last 35 road games.
Avalanche are 3-9 in their last 12 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Dallas Stars over the Avalanche in this one. Neither team is all that good in general but I think the Stars are the better team overall as the Avalanche get outplayed a lot with their -4.5 shot differential and that actually increases to -7.6 on the road so it’s hard to win many games like that.

Free Pick: Dallas Stars -140 at Bookmaker

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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