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NFL Pick: Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots

New England Patriots PickOverview

The Buffalo Bills visit Gillette Stadium in New England Sunday where they take on division rivals the New England Patriots. The Patriots have won 9 of the last 10 meetings overall including the last 5 straight but they have covered the spread in just 6 of those 10 games.

Head to Head Trends

Bills are 9-21-1 ATS in their last 31 meetings.
Bills are 1-9 straight up in the last 10 meetings.

New England Patriots (-5)

The New England Patriots are 1st in the AFC East with a 12-3 record and they also have the number one seed in the AFC rapped up so they can look forward to a bye through the first round of the playoffs. The Patriots actually lost their first game of the season and were just 2-2 after week 4 but since then they have gone 10-1 and have just crushed the competition. The Patriots have arguably the best offense in the league averaging a league best 30.6 points per game but they are just 10th in yards per game with 373. The Patriots also have a surprisingly good defense as well this season allowing 349 yards and 19.7 points per game.

New England Patriots Trends

Patriots are 8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

Buffalo Bills (+5)

The Buffalo Bills are 3rd in the AFC East with an 8-7 record and are eliminated from the playoffs. The Bills started out the season strong winning their first 2 games of the season but they kind of faded after that losing 5 of their next 8 games which made making the playoffs a long shot. The Bills don’t have the best offense in thew world averaging just 322 yards and 21.7 points per game but they do have a pretty good defense allowing 316 yards and 18.7 points per game.

Buffalo Bills Trends

Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Conclusion

Even though the Patriots have 1st place wrapped up and they don’t really have anything to play for so I guess that’s why a lot of people are on the Bills today but the Bills are out of the playoffs all together and don’t have anything to play for either. This is a division game and both teams definitely want to win so I still expect both teams to play hard and in that case I’m taking the best team in football the New England Patriots who are 7-0 at home this season.

Free Pick: New England Patriots -5

 

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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