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MLB Pick: New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles

orioles mascotOverview

The New York Yankees head to Camden Yard in Baltimore for a three game series with division rivals the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles have got the best of the Yankees so far this season winning 4 of the 6 meetings. The Orioles have won 11 of the last 20 meetings overall versus the Yankees and 7 of the last 10 in Baltimore.

Head to Head Trends

Yankees are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 8-0-1 in Kurodas last 9 starts vs. Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles (-115)

The Baltimore Orioles are 1st in the American League East  3 games up on the Toronto Blue Jays. The Orioles as just 24-22 at home this season but they have won 5 of their last 6 home games. At home the Orioles average 3.63 runs per game on offense and allow 4.00 runs per game on defense. The Orioles have been hitting pretty good lately averaging 5.60 run per game over this last 10 games. Starting for the Orioles is Miguel Gonzalez who is 4-5 with a 4.22 ERA on the season.

Baltimore Orioles Trends

Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 overall.
Orioles are 17-6 in Gonzalezs last 23 home starts.
Orioles are 17-8 in their last 25 games as a home favorite.

New York Yankees. (+105)

The New York Yankees are 2rd in the American League East 4 games back of the Baltimore Orioles. The Yankees are not having the best season so far they are  just 1 game over .500 at 46-45 but if you look at their stats its surprising they’re not worse then they actually are. The Yankees are averaging 4.05 runs per game on offense while allowing 4.46 runs on defense for a -0.41 run deferential so with those kind of numbers they’re lucky they’re not 5 or 10 games under .500.  Starting for the Yankees is Hiroki Kuroda who is 6-6 with a 4.20 ERA on the season.

New York Yankees Trends

Yankees are 4-11 in Kurodas last 15 road starts.
Yankees have won just 12 of their last 19 games.
Under is 22-4-1 in Kurodas last 27 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Conclusion

I like the Baltimore Orioles as a small -115 favorite in this one today. They’re at home and have been playing pretty good recently winning 8 of their last 10 games while the Yankees are starting to fade a bit losing 12 of their last 19 games.

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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