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MLB Pick: Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers

Overview

The Washington Nationals are in Milwaukee today for the second game of their four game series with the Brewers. The Nationals have played the Brewers well over the past few seasons winning 12 of the last 20 meetings overall including 6 of the last 9 played in Milwaukee.

Head to Head Trends

Nationals are 5-0 in Zimmermanns last 5 starts vs. Brewers.
Over is 15-7-1 in the last 23 meetings in Milwaukee.

Milwaukee Brewers (-111)

The Milwaukee Brewers are last in the National League Central with a 23-38 record which is also the second worst record in all of baseball just a half game ahead of the Phillies. The Brewers were in last place for most of the season but they have actually been playing some decent ball over the past couple weeks winning 7 of their last 11 games.

The Brewers big problem this season has been pitching which is really no surprise for a bad team but their pitching staff has really turned things around of late allowing just 2.50 runs per game over their last 10 and their bullpen has just a 0.36 ERA over that period.

On the hill for the Brewers today is Mike Fiers who is 2-6 with a 4.06 ERA on the season. Fiers has pitched good on the road this season but at home he has been horrible going 0-4 with a 5.83 ERA.

Milwaukee Brewers Trends

Brewers are 4-11 in Fiers last 15 starts.
Brewers are 2-7 in their last 9 home games.

Washington Nationals (+101)

The Washington Nationals are 2nd in the National League East just a half game back of the 1st place New York Mets. The Nationals were one of the hottest teams in the league in May but they have really cooled off winning just 3 of their last 13 games.

Starting for the Nationals today is Jordan Zimmerman who is 5-3 with a 3.18 ERA on the season. Of Zimmerman’s 12 starts this season 10 of them are considered quality starts which means going at least 6 innings while allowing 3 or less runs so you know what your getting when Zimmerman is on the mound.

Washington Nationals Trends

Nationals are 3-10 in their last 13 overall.
Nationals are 40-12 in Zimmermanns last 52 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Washington Nationals over the Brewers in this one. I usually don’t like picking teams when they are ice cold like the Nationals but the Brewers are one of the worst teams in the league and Zimmerman is one of the best pitchers in the league so I think this is a pretty good spot for the Nationals to get back on track.

Free Pick: Washington Nationals +101  

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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