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MLB Pick: Seattle Mariners at LA Angels

Overview

The Seattle Mariners are in Los Angeles to take on their division rivals the LA Angels in the 2nd game of a three game series. The Angels won the 1st game in a 16 inning marathon with a walk off pinch hit by Efren Navarro. These teams have played a lot of games against each other already this season with the Mariners holding a slight 6 to 4 edge in the season series. The Mariners have had a hard time winning in LA over the past 5 or 6 years winning just 23 of their last 74 meetings in Los Angeles.

Head to Head Trends

Mariners are 23-51 in the last 74 meetings in Los Angeles.
Mariners are 3-9 in Hernandezs last 12 road starts vs. Angels.

Los Angeles Angels (-108)

The LA Angels are 2nd in the American League West just 1.5 games back of the Oakland Athletics. The Angles have been on quite the run over the past month winning 20 of their last 24 games. Over that stretch they have been getting some good pitching but it’s been their bats that have been just absolutely on fire and they’re now actually the highest scoring team in all of baseball averaging 5.06 runs per game. The Angels also play great at home where they are 18 games above .550 with 33 wins versus just 15 losses and that’s also the best home record in baseball. Starting for the Angels is Garrett Richards who is having an outstanding season going 11-2 with a 2.55 era in 19 starts.

LA Angels Trends

Angels are 20-8 in Richards’ last 28 starts.
Angels are 33-15 at home this season.

Seattle Mariners (-102)

The Seattle Mariners are 3rd in the American League West 9 games back of the Oakland Athletics. The Mariners went on a good hot stretch in late June and early July that saw them win 13 of 17 games and it looked like they were going top make a run in the West but they have since faded losing 6 of their last 8 games. The Mariners have the best runs allowed in all of baseball with just 3.38 runs allowed per game and starting for the Mariners today is King Felix who is a big reason why they have the best runs allowed in baseball. Hernandez is 11-2 with a 2.12 on the season and has only allowed a total of 12 runs over his last 10 starts.

Seattle Mariners Trends

Mariners are 5-0 in Hernandezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Mariners are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.

Conclusion

I like the Angels to get it done today versus Hernandez and the Mariners. I hate betting against Felix Hernandez because that guy is just a total beast but when you look at Garrett Richards numbers they’re not all that all that different so this game all basically comes down to offense and that gives the edge to the Angels.

Free Pick: LA Angels -108

 

Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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