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MLB Pick: Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals

Overview

The Seattle Mariners are in Kansas City for the final game of their three game series versus the Royals. The Mariners crushed the Royals 11-2 in the first game but lost a heart breaker in extra’s in the second game.

Head to Head Trends

Mariners are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City.
Under is 3-0-1 in Hobergs last 4 games behind home plate.

Kansas City Royals (-160)

The Kansas City Royals are 1st in the American League Central 10 games clear of the 2nd place Minnesota Twins and they are also 1.5 games up on the Blue Jays for top spot in the American League. The Royals played so great for most of the season but it just seems like they’re running out of steam losing 12 of their last 18 games.

Starting for the Royals today is Johnny Cueto who is 2-6 with a 5.12 ERA in 10 starts since joining the Royals at the trade deadline. Cueto’s first few starts with the Royals were good but over his last 6 starts he is 0-5 with an 8.10 ERA so you almost have to wonder if their is something wrong with his arm.

Kansas City Royals Trends

Royals are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Royals are 0-6 in Cuetos last 6 starts.

Seattle Mariners (+150)

The Seattle mariners are 4th in the American League West 8.5 games out of 1st place. The Mariners have been playing better ball over the past month but it’s just too little too late. The Mariners have pitched much better over the past month but it’s their offense who are doing most of the damage scoring 5+ runs in 17 of their last 29 games.

On the hill for the Mariners in this one is lefty James Paxton who is 3-4 with a 3.70 ERA in 12 starts this season. Paxton hasn’t exactly pitched all that great he doesn’t go deep into games and walks way to many batters but he makes for a decent 4th or 5th starter.

Seattle Mariners Trends

Mariners are 8-2 in their last 10 road games.
Mariners are 40-19 in their last 59 games following a loss.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Seattle Mariners over the Kansas City Royals in this one. The Royals have put up some big numbers on offense over the last little while and Cueto has not looked good so I think it’s a good spot for a nice +150 underdog.

Free Pick: Seattle Mariners +150  

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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