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MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds

Overview

The San Francisco Giants are in Cincinnati for the second game of their three game series with the Reds. The Reds had a 6-3 lead early in yesterdays game but their bullpen couldn’t hold on to that lead giving up 6 runs in the last 3 innings on the way to a 9-6 loss.

Head to Head Trends

Giants are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Over is 18-7-3 in the last 28 meetings.

Cincinnati Reds (+145)

Reds LogoThe Cincinnati Reds are last in the National League Central with a 10-16 record 9 games out of 1st place. The Reds got off to a quick start this season winning 5 of their first 6 games but they have been pretty bad of late winning just 1 of their last 8 games.

The Reds haven’t really been doing anything good so far this season. They have a 5.92 ERA which is obviously not very good and they also haven’t been hitting averaging just 3.81 runs per game. It looks like the hitting is starting to come around scoring 6 runs in back to back games but their pitching is still looking pretty bad.

On the hill for the Reds in this one is Jon Moscot who is 0-2 with a 4.02 ERA in his 3 starts this season. Moscot hasn’t been super bad he’s allowing less then a hit per inning but his control has been horrible allowing 9 walks over just 15 innings.

Cincinnati Reds Trends

Reds are 23-52 in their last 75 overall.
Reds are 0-4 in Moscots last 4 starts.

San Francisco Giants (-155)

The San Francisco Giants are 1st in the National League West with a 14-13 record just a half game up on the 2nd place LA Dodgers. The Giants are playing some solid ball right now winning 7 of their last 10 games although 3 of those wins did come against the Padres.

Taking the mound for the Giants in this one is Jeff Samardzija or Jeff alphabet as I like to call him because his name looks like he just took a bunch of random letters and put them together. Jeff has pitched well so far this season going 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA in 5 starts.

San Francisco Giants Trends

Giants are 8-21 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Giants are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Cincinnati Reds over the Giants in this one. The Giants are probably the better team overall but I think the Reds offense is starting to come around and they’re also a pretty big home dog so I think they’re worth a shot today.

Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds +145 

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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