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MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants at LA Dodgers

giants stadiumOverview

The San Francisco Giants are in LA for the second game of a three game series with the Giants. The Dodgers haven’t had much luck versus the Giants this season losing 9 of the 13 meetings so far but they have played them fairly well at home winning 3 of the 6 meetings.

Head to Head Trends

Giants are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Dodgers are 7-0 in Greinkes last 7 starts vs. Giants.

LA Dodgers (-115)

The LA Dodgers are 1st in the National League West 4.5 games clear of the 2nd place Giants. After losing 5 straight last week the Dodgers look like they are heating up again winning 6 of their last 7 games. At 45-21 the Dodgers have one of the best home records in all of baseball. At home the Dodgers are averaging 4.35 runs per game on offense while allowing just 3.35 runs per game on defense.

Starting for the Dodgers today is Zack Greinke who is 14-3 with a 1.61 ERA on the season. Grenkie has pitched great this season I think he’s a shoe in for the Cy Young, I mean the guy went 6 starts in a row without allowing a single run that’s impressive stuff.

LA Dodgers Trends

Dodgers are 56-24 in their last 80 home games.
Dodgers are 35-10 in Greinkes last 45 home starts.

San Francisco Giants (+105)

The San Francisco Giants are 2nd in the National League West 4.5 games out of 1st place and being 5.5 games out of a wild card spot it looks like winning the division might be their best shot at making the post season. The Giants have won just 4 of their last 12 games including losing their last 3 in a row so not a great time to go into a slump right now.

On the hill for the Giants today is their ace Madison Bumgarner who is 16-6 with a 2.97 ERA on the season. Bumgarner has also pitched great this season especially of late winning his last 5 starts but he has struggled on the road at times this season where is has a 4.17 ERA.

San Francisco Giants Trends

Giants are 2-10 in their last 12 road games.
Giants are 28-11 in Bumgarners last 39 starts.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Dodgers over the Giants in this one. Grenkie has been the best pitcher in the league this season plus the Dodgers tend to play well at home so I think -115 is a little low and offers some nice value.

Free Pick: LA Dodgers -115

Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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