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MLB Pick: San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates

Overview

The San Diego Padres visit PNC Park in Pittsburgh for a three game series with the Pirates. This will be just the 4th meeting of the season between the Padres and Pirates with the Pirates winning 2 of the first 3 meetings. The Pirates have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with the Padres but before that they did lose 12 of the previous 15 meetings. Things have been even worse for the Pirates at home versus the Padres where they have won just 3 of the last 20 meetings which is pretty darn amazing although the Pirates did suck for a long time.

Head to Head Trends

Pirates are 3-17 in the last 20 meetings in Pittsburgh.
Pirates are 7-13 in the last 20 meetings overall.

Pittsburgh Pirates (-123)

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 3rd in the National League Central 1.5 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers. The Pirates have one of the best home records in baseball with 36 wins versus just 22 losses. At home the Pirates average 4.57 runs per game on offense and allow 3.97 runs per game on defense. The Pirates are 6-4 over their last 10 games and have outscored their opponents 53-36. On the hill for the Pirates today is Vance Worley who is 4-1 with a 2.43 ERA in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Trends

Pirates are 20-8 in their last 28 vs. a team with a losing record.
Pirates are 19-7 in their last 26 home games.
Pirates are 19-9 in their last 28 games as a favorite.

San Diego Padres (+113)

The San Diego Padres are 3rd in the National League West 12.5 games back of the 1st place LA Dodgers. The Padres actually play pretty good at home where they have a 31-27 record but it’s a whole different story on the road where they are just 21-34. The Padres offense just flat out sucks averaging 3.21 runs per game which is actually a lot better then it was because it wasn’t that long ago that they were averaging under 3 runs per game. On the road the Padres average 3.05 runs per game on offense and allow 3.89 runs per game on defense. Starting for the Padres is Ian Kennedy who is 8-9 with a 3.59 ERA on the season.

San Diego Padres Trends

Padres are 2-5 in Kennedys last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.

Conclusion

I like the Pirates to get it done today versus the Padres. The Pirates have been one of the best home teams in baseball so far this season while the Padres have been one of the worst so I think getting the Pirates at just -123 today is a total steal.

Free Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates -123

 

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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