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MLB Pick: San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers


The San Diego Padres visit Miller Park in Milwaukee today for the first game of a four game series with the Brewers. The Brewers have played the Padres well of late winning 5 of the last 6 meetings including the last 3 in a row played in Milwaukee.

Head to Head Trends

Padres are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings.

Milwaukee Brewers (-130)

The Milwaukee Brewers are last in the National League Central with a 14-20 record 11.5 games out of 1st place. The Brewers have a good offense averaging 4.59 runs per game but their pitching is the worst is all of baseball allowing 5.45 runs per game. Over their last 5 games their pitching has gotten better especially their bullpen who have just a 1.69 ERA over their last 5 games.

Taking the mound for the Brewers in this one is Jimmy Nelson who is 4-2 with a 3.74 ERA on the season. Nelson has been fairly good this season he’s had 4 quality starts but he’s also had a couple stinkers so like any average pitcher it’s really hard to know what your going to get start to start.

Milwaukee Brewers Trends

Brewers are 5-1 in Nelsons last 6 starts.
Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

San Diego Padres (+120)

The San Diego Padres are last in the National League West with a 15-20 record  but still just 2.5 games out of 1st place. The San Diego Padres have one of the worst offenses in the league averaging just 3.74 runs per game but they did score 7 runs in the first 2 games of their series with Cubs so maybe they’re starting to come around a bit.

Starting for the Padres today is James Shields who is 1-5 with a 3.60 ERA in his 7 starts this season. Shields has actually pitched pretty good this season he just isn’t getting any run support from his offense. The Padres are averaging just 1.60 runs in Shields starts.

San Diego Padres Trends

Padres are 8-20 in Shields’ last 28 starts.
Padres are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.


I’m going with the Milwaukee Brewers over Padres in this one. Neither team is all that good but I do think the Brewers are the better team overall and especially when their offense is firing on all cylinders like they are right now.

Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -130 

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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