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MLB Pick: San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds

The San Diego Padres head into Cincinnati for a four game series with the Reds. The Padres have played the Reds well of late winning 8 of the last 10 meetings overall and 3 of the last 4 played in Cincinnati.

Head to Head Trends

Padres are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Cincinnati.

Reds LogoCincinnati Reds (-105)

The Cincinnati Reds are last in the National League Central 16 games under .500 and a full 20 games out of 1st place. The Reds have had a few decent stretches where they will win 4 out of 5 games or something like that but when you look a little bit closer every time they have done this it has been against some of the worst teams in baseball.

The Reds are also a much better home team where they have a 17-19 record versus on the road where they have an 11-25 record. At home the Reds are averaging 4.47 runs per game on offense and allowing 5.33 runs per game on defense so with numbers like that I’m kind of surprised that their record is as good as it is.

On the hill for the Reds today is lefty John Lamb who is 1-4 with a 4.75 ERA in 9 starts this season. Lamb is pretty much a gas can, the only thing he has going for him is he’s a big left handed pitcher. Lamb has had two starts this season where he threw over 100 pitches and in the outing after those starts he got hit pretty hard. In his last start Lamb threw 108 pitches so that’s something to keep an eye on today.

Cincinnati Reds Trends

Reds are 8-23 in their last 31 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Reds are 3-9 in Lambs last 12 starts.

San Diego Padres (-105)

The San Diego Padres are last in the National League West 13 games under .500 and 16 games out of 1st place. The Padres haven’t done a whole lot this season but they have show some fire power with the bats at times especially against left handed pitching batting .273 and averaging 6.39 runs per 9 innings.

Starting for the Padres in this one is lefty Christian Friedrich who is 3-2 with a 3.15 ERA in his 7 starts this season. Friedrich has actually pitched pretty good this season 4 of his 7 starts have been quality starts and he’s only been knocked around once this season in his last start where he gave up 9 hits and 6 runs to the Nationals.

San Diego Padres Trends

Padres are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Padres are 17-35 in their last 52 road games.

Game Pick Summary

I like the San Diego Padres over the Reds in this one. Neither team is all that great but the Padres have crushed left handed pitching this season averaging 6.39 runs per 9 innings.

Free Pick: San Diego Padres -105  

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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