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MLB Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers

Overview

The Milwaukee Brewers look to avoid getting swept by the Pittsburgh Pirates today at home in Milwaukee. The Brewers actually held the lead at one point in the first two games of the series but things seemed to fall apart fast for the Brewers as they ended up getting spanked in both games losing 8-3 and 10-2.

Head to Head Trends

Pirates are 14-51 in the last 65 meetings in Milwaukee.
Pirates are 34-74 in the last 108 meetings overall.

Milwaukee Brewers (-137)

The Milwaukee Brewers are 1st in the National League Central but after losing their last three straight games they are now just a half game up on the St Louis Cardinals. The Brewers have the second best offense in the National League averaging 4.30 runs per game although that takes a slight dip at home in Milwaukee where they average 4.20 runs per game. The Brewers pitching staff is about average nothing special allowing 4.05 runs per game. Starting for the Brewers today is Mike Fiers who is 3-1 with a 1.29 ERA in 3 starts and a few relief appearances out of the bullpen.

Milwaukee Brewers Trends

Brewers are 37-18 in their last 55 during game 3 of a series.
Brewers are 8-1 in their last 9 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Pittsburgh Pirates (+127)

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 3rd in the National League Central 4 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers. The Pirates were looking like they were done for the season earlier in the week after losing 7 games in a row but they seem to have straightened the ship and have won their last 3 games. The Pirates have the 3rd highest scoring offense in the National League averaging 4.26 runs per game but that drops off a lot away from home where they average just 4.06 runs per game. On the hill for the Pirates today is Vance Worley who is 5-3 with a 2.92 ERA in 11 starts this season. Worley was pretty solid over his first 9 starts but he has been knocked around in his last 2 starts allowing 11 runs and 18 hits.

Pittsburgh Pirates Trends

Pirates are 3-7 in their last 10 overall.
Pirates are 2-6 in their last 8 games as a road underdog.

Conclusion

I like the Brewers to avoid the sweep and beat the Pirates today. The Pirates are not the best road team in the world and Vance Worley has also struggled in his last 2 starts so I think the odds are against them sweeping the Brewers today in Milwaukee.

Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -137

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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