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MLB Pick: Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres


The Philadelphia Phillies are out west in sunny San Diego as they take on the Padres in the second game of their four game series. This will be just the 5th meetings of the season between the Padres and Phillies with the Phillies winning 3 of the first 4 games so far. The Padres haven’t feared all that well against the Phillies in recent years losing 48 of the last 68 meetings overall and 28 of the last 36 meetings in San Diego.

Head to Head Trends

Phillies are 48-20 in the last 68 meetings.
Phillies are 28-8 in the last 36 meetings in San Diego.

San Diego Padres (-120)

The San Diego Padres are 3rd in the National League West 16.5 games back of the 1st place LA Dodgers. The Padres are 11 games under .500 but they have played well at home where they are 10 games over .500 at 41-31. The Padres actually kind of sucked at home early in the season until the middle of June when something clicked and they have gone 25-12 at home since. The Padres are the lowest scoring team in baseball averaging 3.23 runs per game but lucky for them they have a good pitching staff especially at home where they allow just 2.97 runs per game. On the hill for the Padres today is Ian Kennedy who is 10-13 with a 3.77 ERA.

San Diego Padres Trends

Padres are 25-12 in their last 37 home games.
Padres are 7-2 in Kennedys last 9 home starts.

Philadelphia Phillies (+110)

The Philadelphia Phillies are last in the National League East 17.5 games out of 1st place. The Phillies were hot a couple weeks ago and they were a great team to ride as they were fairly big underdogs most games but I think that ship has officially sailed as the Phillies have won just 3 of their last 9 games. A big reason for the Phillies hot streak was their offense but they have really cooled off averaging just 2.55 runs per game over their last 9. Starting for the Phillies today is A.J. Burnett who is 8-16 with a 4.34 ERA on the season.

Philadelphia Phillies Trends

Phillies are 2-9 in Burnetts last 11 starts.
Phillies are 17-35 in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a losing record.


I like the Padres to get it done and beat the Phillies again today. The Padres play well at home especially the second half of the season while the Phillies are looking like their little hot stretch is over and its back to the old crappy Phillies again. For those of you who might be looking for a little bit more of a payoff you might want to consider parlaying the Padres money line with the under.

Free Pick: San Diego Padres -120     

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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