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MLB Pick: Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

philliesThe Philadelphia Phillies are in Atlanta for the second game of their three game series with division rivals the Atlanta Braves. The Phillies have played well in Atlanta so far this season winning 5 of the 7 meetings although the Braves have won 8 of the 14 meetings overall versus the Phillies this season.

Head to Head Trends

Phillies are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.
Braves are 1-4 in Minors last 5 starts vs. Phillies.

Atlanta Braves (-153)

The Atlanta Braves are 2nd in the National League East 7 games back of the Washington Nationals. The Braves are 6 games over .500 on the season with most of their success coming at home where they are 39-30. At home the Braves average 3.70 runs per game on offense and allow 3.42 runs per game on defense. The Braves are struggling to score runs right now averaging just 2.30 runs per game over their last 10 games so it’s a good thing they have a pretty good pitching staff. On the hill for the Braves today is lefty Mike Minor who is 6-8 with a 4.70 ERA in 21 starts this season. Minor has been having a bit of an off season but he might be starting to come around as he’s pitched very well over his last few starts.

Atlanta Braves trends

Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Braves are 7-1 in Minors last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.

Philadelphia Phillies (+163)

The Philadelphia Phillies are last in the National League East 15.5 games out of 1st place but they are just a half game back of the Mets for 4th place so that’s something. The Phillies haven’t been having the best season they’re 11 games under .500 and last in the NL East but they have been playing much better of late winning 8 of their last 11 games. Over this recent stretch it’s been the Phillies bats that have been getting it done averaging almost 5 runs per game and outscoring their opponents 51-35. Starting for the Phillies today is Kyle Kendrick who is 7-11 with a 4.97 ERA on the season.

Philadelphia Phillies Trends

Phillies are 8-3 in their last 11 overall.
Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Phillies are 4-1 in Kendricks last 5 starts.

Conclusion

I like the Phillies in this one today. I don’t know if they’re going to win but they have been playing much better of late and we’re still getting them as big underdogs everyday so they’re probably a good team to ride for a bit.

Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +163 

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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