Home » Free Expert Sports Picks » MLB Pick: Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox

MLB Pick: Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox

David Ortiz

David Ortiz is enjoying his final year before retirement.

The Houston Astros are at Fenway Park in Boston tonight where they take on the Red Sox in the second game of a four game series. The Red Sox took the first game of the series easily winning 11-1 and that’s been the trend in games played in Boston as the Red Sox have won 12 of the last 15 meetings played at home in Fenway Park.

Head to Head Trends

Astros are 3-12 in the last 15 meetings in Boston.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston.

Boston Red Sox (-150)

The Boston Red Sox are tied for 1st in the American League East with the Baltimore Orioles. The Red Sox started the season kind of slow but they have been absolutely on fire over the past few weeks winning 14 of their last 18 games.

The Red Sox pitching has been decent enough but nothing special allowing 4.26 runs per game. Their offense on the other hand has been off the charts all season but especially of late scoring 51 runs over their last 4 games.

On the hill for the Red Sox in this one is Steven Wright who is 3-3 with a 1.52 ERA on the season. Wright has been the Red Sox best pitcher so far and is quickly becoming the ace of the staff. I like the way Wright is pitching this season but he has been walking a few guys and usually it’s only time until those walks start turning into runs so that might be something to keep an eye on with him.

Boston Red Sox Trends

Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 home games.
Red Sox are 4-0 in Wrights last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.

Houston Astros (+140)

The Houston Astros are 4th in the American League West with a 14-22 record 8 games out of 1st place. It looks like the Astros great season last year was a one time thing as they look nothing like last years team.

The Astros haven’t pitched well allowing 4.72 runs per game and their offense just haven’t been there averaging 4.03 runs per game especially on the road where they are averaging just 3.44 runs per game.

Starting for the Astros in this one is Lance McCullers who will be making his first start of the season. In his rookie season last year McCullers pitched pretty good going 6-7 with a 3.22 ERA while striking out 129 in 22 starts.

Houston Astros Trends

Astros are 18-42 in their last 60 road games.
Astros are 1-10 in McCullers’ last 11 road starts.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Boston Red Sox over the Astros again today. It’s hard not to go with the Sox the way their offense are swinging the bats right now especially against a team like the Astros who are struggling and have a guy making his first start of the season.

Free Pick: Boston Red Sox -150  

 

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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