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MLB Pick: Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

Overview

The Boston Red Sox try to avoid the sweep today in Toronto where they take on the Blue Jays in the final game of their three game series. The Blue Jays walked off the Red Sox in yesterdays game and they scored 2 runs in the bottom of the 8th inning in Fridays game on the way to a 7-5 win.

Head to Head Trends

Red Sox are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.

Toronto Blue Jays (+125)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 3rd in the American League East with a 26-25 record 4 games out of 1st place. The Blue Jays haven’t exactly played great baseball so far this season and a few times it looked like they were going to turn things around and didn’t but it actually looks like they turned things around for real this time. The Jays are getting timely hitting and they are finally starting to hit with runners in scoring position so maybe this is the start of a nice hot stretch for the Jays.

On the hill for the Blue Jays in this one is knuckleballer R.A. Dickey who is 2-6 with a 4.60 ERA on the season. Dickey had a bit of a slow start to the season but he’s had a few pretty good outing over the last month so now all he need is the Jays offense to start scoring him some runs.

Toronto Blue Jays Trends

Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Blue Jays are 36-17 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Boston Red Sox (-135)

The Boston Red Sox are 1st in the American League East with a 29-20 record just 1 game up on the 2nd place Baltimore Orioles. The Red Sox have been one of the hottest teams in the league over the past month especially their offense who have been just crushing the ball of late.

Starting for the Red Sox today is lefty David Price who is 7-1 with a 5.34 ERA in his 10 start this season. Price hasn’t had his best stuff this season he’s been hit pretty hard at times but he has put together three quality starts in a row so maybe he’s starting to come around to the David Price we’re used to seeing.

Boston Red Sox Trends

Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in Prices last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Toronto Blue Jays over the Red Sox again today. Price hasn’t pitched super great this season and the Blue Jays have a ton of momentum right now so I would take them to beat almost anyone especially as a nice +125 home underdog.

Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +125

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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