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MLB Pick: Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins

Overview

The Boston Red Sox are in Minnesota for the first game of a three game series versus the Twins. The Red Sox have kind of owned the Twins of late winning 7 of the last 9 meetings including 9 of the last 12 played in Minnesota.

This is however one of the better Twins teams we have seen in a while and it’s also one of the poorer¬†Red Sox teams we’ve seen in a while so we might be in for a little bit of a turn around in how this series has been going over the past few seasons.

Head to Head Trends

Red Sox are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Red Sox are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Minnesota.

Minnesota Twins (+103)

The Minnesota Twins are 2nd in the American League Central 3 games back of the 1st place Kansas City Royals. The Twins got off to a slow start this season losing 6 of their first 7 games but they have been on fire since winning 24 of their last 36 games.

Starting for the Twins today is Ricky Nolasco who is 4-1 with a 6.00 ERA on the season. Nolasco hasn’t exactly pitched good this season but he keeps the Twins in the game and they give him a lot of run support so it may not be pretty but he’s gets it done.

Minnesota Twins Trends

Twins are 9-2 in their last 11 home games.
Twins are 4-0 in Nolascos last 4 starts.

Boston Red Sox (-113)

The Boston Red Sox are 3rd in the American League East 2.5 games out of 1st place. The Sox are just the opposite of the Twins they got off to a hot start winning 6 of their first 8 games but haven’t done a whole lot since.

On the mound for the Red Sox in this one is Joe Kelly who is 1-3 with a 5.13 ERA on the season. Kelly has been a little hit or miss so far this season he’s had several very good outings but he’s has just as many very bad outings so I guess we’ll have to wait and see what he does today.

Boston Red Sox Trends

Red Sox are 3-9 in their last 12 games following a win.
Red Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Conclusion

I like the Minnesota Twins over the Red Sox in this one. The Twins are 14-6 at home this season and they are one of the hottest teams in the league right now plus they are a small underdog so it’s hard to get any better then that.

Free Pick: Minnesota Twins +103

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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