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MLB Pick: Baltimore Orioles at San Diego Padres

Overview

The Baltimore Orioles are in sunny San Diego again today where they finish up their quick two game series with the Padres. The Orioles had a big game with the bats in the first scoring 11 runs off 17 hits on their way to an 11-7 win.

Head to Head Trends

Orioles are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Orioles are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego.

San Diego Padres (+125)

The San Diego Padres are last in the National League West 15.5 games out of 1st place. The Padres are playing some decent ball right now winning 6 of their last 9 games but so far this season has been a struggle for the most part. The Padres offense is much improved over the past few seasons averaging 4.27 runs per game but their pitching has taken a step back allowing 4.90 runs per game.

Starting for the Padres today is lefty Christian Friedrich who is 4-2 with a 3.69 ERA on the season. Friedrich has pitched great on the road this season where he’s 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA but he’s been surprisingly bad at home here he’s also 2-1 but with a much higher 5.57 ERA.

San Diego Padres Trends

Padres are 2-11 in their last 13 interleague home games.
Padres are 6-20 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Baltimore Orioles (-135)

The Baltimore Orioles are 1st in the American League East 4.5 games clear of the 2nd place Boston Red Sox. The Orioles are red hot right now winning their last 6 games in a row. The Orioles have a decent pitching staff but most of the damage is being done by their offense who are batting .358 as a team and averaging 7.40 runs per game over their last 10 games.

On the hill for the Orioles today is Yovani Gallardo who is 2-1 with a 6.04 ERA in his 6 starts this season. Gallardo has been aweful so far this season he has zero quality starts and his control really hasn’t been there allowing 13 walks in just 28 innings.

Baltimore Orioles Trends

Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
Orioles are 10-2 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Baltimore Orioles over the Padres in this one. The Padres might have the pitching advantage but the Orioles offense has been just crushing the ball of late so I think that makes up for any lack of starting pitching for the Orioles in this one.

Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles -135

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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