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MLB Pick: Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees

Overview

The Baltimore Orioles head into Yankee Stadium for a three game series with division rivals the New York Yankees. The Orioles have gotten the best of the Yankees over the past year or so winning 12 of the last 20 meetings overall but the Yankees have won 4 of the last 5 played in New York.

Head to Head Trends

Orioles are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
Orioles are 12-8 in the last 20 meetings overall.

New York Yankees (-120)

The New York Yankees are 1st in the American League East but the Orioles, Blue Jays, and Rays are all within 5 games so if they start to slump just a little bit they could easily find themselves in 4th place in no time at all. The Yankees play well at home where they have a 27-17 record. I kind of feel the Yankees team is built for Yankee Stadium because they have a few guys that probably wouldn’t have all that many home-runs if it wasn’t for that short right field.

On the hill for the Yankees today is Nathan Eovaldi who is 9-2 with a 4.50 ERA on the season. Eovaldi’s ERA in a little high and you might think that’s from playing in Yankees Stadium but that’s not the case he actually has just a 3.72 ERA at home this season to go along with a 4-0 record.

New York Yankees Trends

Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles (+110)

The Baltimore Orioles are 2nd in the American League East just 4 games out of 1st place. The Orioles had about a month where they were red hot especially their bats but for the rest of the season they haven’t really been all that good so until they get start to get hot again they’re pretty solid fade material.

Starting for the Orioles in this one is lefty Wei-Yin Chen who is 4-5 with a 2.78 ERA on the season. Chen has been very impressive this season apart from the 17 home runs he has given up most of which have been solo shots but it’s only time till their not and he gets lit up big time.

Baltimore Orioles Trends

Orioles are 2-6 in their last 8 road games.
Orioles are 2-6 in Chens last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Conclusion

I like the New York Yankees over the Orioles in this one. The Orioles kind of  struggle on the road in general and they also haven’t done a whole lot since that hot streak about a month ago while the Yankees tend to play well at home.

Free Pick: New York Yankees -120  

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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