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MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves at New York Mets

Overview

The Atlanta Braves visit Citi Field in New York where they start a three game series versus the Mets. This has been a fairly even series over the past couple seasons with each team winning 10 of the last 20 meetings although so far this season the Braves have gotten the best of the Mets winning 2 of their 3 meetings.

Head to Head Trends

Mets are 1-4 in Nieses last 5 starts vs. Braves.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

New York Mets (-145)

The New York Mets are 1st in the NL East 1.5 games up on the 2nd place Atlanta Braves. The Mets actually started the season kind of slow losing 3 of their first 5 games but they have won 8 in a row since although to be fair 7 of those games were against the Phillies and Marlins so not exactly the best competition.

Starting for the Mets today is lefty Jon Niese who 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA in his two starts so far this season. Niese has an impressive ERA but he also has a WHIP of 1.76 which means he’s been allowing a lot of hits and walks and it’s only time until they start coming around and scoring.

New York Mets Trends

Mets are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
Mets are 5-17 in Nieses last 22 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Atlanta Braves (+135)

The Atlanta Braves are 2nd in the NL East with an 8-4 record and just 1.5 games out of 1st place. The Braves are playing some solid ball to start the season averaging 4.50 runs per game on offense while allowing 3.67 runs per game on defense.

On the hill for the Braves today is Trevor Cahill who was horrible in his only other start this season giving up 5 hits and 4 earned runs in just a couple innings of work which is actually where he left off last season, getting hit hard.

Atlanta Braves Trends

Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 road games.
Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

This may not be the smartest pick in the world but I’m going to go with the Braves over the Mets in this one. I have very little confidence in Trevor Cahill but even so I like the Braves as a +135 underdog to give the Mets their first home loss of the season.

Free Pick: Atlanta Braves +135  

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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