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MLB Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres

padres team mascotOverview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are in San Diego this afternoon for the rubber match of their three game series versus the Padres. The Diamondbacks won the first game on a strong pitching performance from Zach Greinke but they came up short in yesterdays game losing 5-3 in extra innings.

Head to Head Trends

Under is 17-8-1 in the last 26 meetings in San Diego.
Home team is 29-14 in Eddings’ last 43 games behind home plate vs. San Diego.

San Diego Padres (+105)

The San Diego Padres are 4-8 through their first 12 games this season and they’re pretty much looking like the same team from last year. Like last season the Padres are lacking on offense again this season hitting .227 as a team and averaging 3.67 runs.

That 3.67 runs might not seem all that bad but you have to remember that it’s early in the season and the Padres have already played 3 games in Colorado where they averaged over 10 runs per game. If you take away those games in Colorado they have only scored 12 runs total in their other 9 games which included 5 shutouts.

Starting for the Padres in this one is lefty Robbie Erlin who is 1-1 with a 0.93 ERA in two appearances this season. Erlin made a relief appearance in Colorado going 3.2 scoreless innings and he also made a start versus the Phillies allowing just 3 hits and 1 earned run over 6 innings of work.

San Diego Padres Trends

Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Padres are 1-6 in Erlins last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.

Arizona Diamondbacks (-115)

The Diamondbacks are off to a bit of a slow start this season winning just 4 of their first 12 games. The Diamondbacks are struggling with their pitching allowing 5.33 runs per game which is kind of to be expected but what’s not expected is their offense who are batting just .239 and averaging 3.83 runs per game.

On the hill for the Diamondbacks today is lefty Patrick Corbin who is 0-1 with a 3.64 ERA through his first couple starts of the season. Corbin has been ok but nothing special he’s really just an average 4th or 5th starter which is all the Diamondbacks need once they get their offense going.

Arizona Diamondbacks Trends

Diamondbacks are 20-7 in Corbins last 27 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Conclusion

I like the Arizona Diamondbacks over the Padres in this one. Even though the Diamondbacks aren’t playing super great right now I still think they are the better team overall land it’s only time till their offense starts hitting.

Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -115 

About Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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